High on the Hog

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Nicholas Winton runs gohht.com and is an independent Toronto-based stock researcher and forecaster. His objective is to identify resource companies that have a high degree of upside or downside potential within specified time frames. To build his forecasts, Nicholas analyzes stocks and commodities using his proprietary forecasting tools. The key driver of his process are "Alpha Signals" which generate a window of time forecast when moves are anticipated to occur. Nicholas also uses sentiment and insider behaviour to further enhance his selection and decision-making process.
 
Through Hedgehogtrader.com Nicholas publishes a number of resource advisory newsletters available by subscription including his flagship publication, Hedgehog Trader Newsletter and his micro-cap newsletter Hedgehog High Roller. Nicholas provides custom consulting work for investment funds and high net-worth individuals pursuing growth situations. You can follow Nicholas on twitter where he often posts comments on gold and silver along with market predictions.

The INK Canadian Insider Index Expands Its 'Box' Consolidation

Technical Overview by Nicholas Winton, Hedgehog Trader  and @HedgehogTrader on Twitter

Thank you for joining us for our weekly technical look at the INK Canadian Insider Index. In our last update, we observed the Index was locked in a very tight range between 980 and 1020 and that converging trend-lines would soon force it to make a move.

Is the INK Index Quietly Building up a Head of Steam?

Technical Overview by Nicholas Winton, Hedgehog Trader and @HedgehogTrader on Twitter

Thank you for joining us in our weekly technical look at the mid-cap oriented INK Canadian Insider (CIN) Index. Since our last update the INK CIN Index has maintained its resolve and has refused to break down. In fact, having bounced off the 985 level, the Index is making incrementally higher lows and continues to consolidate ahead of a final resolution (shown by the two converging black lines). What's more, even though its Relative Strength Indicator has not climbed above the 50 level (which I think is needed for a breakout), its RSI is also quietly and bullishly, making higher lows. Meanwhile, it's the same story for the Index's MACD signal which bottomed in late August and has climbed steadily ever since.

INK CIN Index sees major support at 990 and major resistance at 1060

Technical Overview by Nicholas Winton, @HedgehogTrader on Twitter

Thank you for joining us in this new weekly feature where we take a technical look at the INK Canadian Insider Index. In August, the index suffered a quick and sharp sell-off before rebounding and paring its losses. Following its partial recovery, the Canadian Insider Index has been trading in a very narrow range as investors await a decision from the Federal Reserve on an interest rate increase.   

Are Markets, Speculative Stocks Headed Much Higher?

With the recent volatility in world markets and currencies, market commentators and mainstream media outlets have become bearish on oil, gold and even the broad markets (think magazine covers screaming 'this is the end!').  The investor herd is running scared, as evidenced by $2.8 billion in outflows from U.S.-based domestic-focused stock funds two weeks ago according to Lipper data. CNBC talking-head Dennis Gartman weighed in, calling for a US bear market to begin.  Another commentator slagged gold, the 5000 year old metal of kings, as a mere “pet rock.”  And Mad Money’s Jim Cramer recently swore off oil stocks.  We see this outcry of capitulation as a perfect contrarian signal that is putting a profit opportunity of impressive size before investors.

Is a May Stock Rally on the Way?

In our last piece, we shared our bullish view on the stock market and highlighted the iShares Russell Microcap (IWC*US) chart. Since that time the index has shaken out investors and bullishly powered back above its 50 day moving average. The microcap index finds itself again trading near all time highs. What’s impressive about this move is it's happened with the pessimistic investor sentiment rolling across Wall Street and Twitter like a smoldering tumbleweed in a post-apocalyptic Mad Max movie.

Are quietly climbing microcaps and commodities foretelling a return to risk and speculation?

We are pleased to celebrate the re-launch of Canadian Insider by sharing some thoughts on the market. 

We begin with a particularly noteworthy chart. The iShares Russell Microcap Index Fund (IWC*US) is a chart I have been following closely. It may surprise people that this fund which holds small cap companies in diverse sectors, has been outperforming the US and Canadian market for about a year and has in the past few sessions, broken out to a multi-year high - importantly, with very little attention from the financial media.

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