Canadian Insider

While investors are once again fixating on the upcoming March 15th Fed meeting, they should also be paying attention to a high level meeting likely taking place in Tokyo on the same day. Next Wednesday, US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson is expected to start his northern Asian tour in Japan. Following his stop in Japan, over the following days he is expected to head to South Korea and China, in that order. A key topic will be North Korea which fired at least four missiles towards Japan earlier this week.

On Tuesday, the world will get the first serious insight into the Trump administration's priorities when the president addresses a joint session of congress. We got a hint of what may be in that speech when the New York Times wrote Sunday that the president will be asking for a major jump in defence spending. That news comes on the heels of further reports on the weekend from Reuters that China is investing heavily in naval capabilities to beef up its territorial claims in the South China and East China seas.

Before appearing on BNN's Business Day AM with Amber Kanwar and Jon Erlichman today, we wrote up a note for the show covering some key trends in the market and how insiders are positioning themselves. The background note was fairly extensive and we couldn't possibly cover it all in 7 minutes on television. But, I thought it would be worth sending the material to our readers because it covers a lot of ground, focusing on both institutional and speculative situations in the market.

The replay of the interview is now on the BNN website. If you missed the interview, you can watch it here: http://www.bnn.ca/video/insider-trading-trends-in-canadian-heavyweights~...

Thank you for joining us in a weekly technical look at the mid-cap oriented INK Canadian Insider (CIN) Index. Early last week, the Index continued to trade in a tight range and then on Wednesday dipped to 1180 or 8 points short of its 50-day moving average (1172) before closing strongly near the day's highs. By doing so, the Index is carving out a double bottom pattern and so far this has been confirmed, for the Index went on to gap up and rise 13 points or over 1% over the last 2 days to close at 1200.27 for 7 point gain on the week. The Index's latest chart action is starting to look very promising indeed.

Thank you for joining us in a weekly technical look at the mid-cap oriented INK Canadian Insider (CIN) Index. The Index made a new high above 1200 (1213.42 on an intraday basis) before turning back down. The Index closed up 10 points on the week, finishing a hair under 1200 at 1198.20.

In our December Gold Top 20 we said that the real yields were likely to be a key driver for the gold price for the foreseeable future. While we saw some signs that real 5-year yields had peaked and were heading back towards zero, they have rallied back with a vengeance following the hawkish posture of the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. On balance, Fed officials now see three rate hikes in 2017.

In my latest Talk Digital Network interview with Jim Goddard, I highlight how Canadian insiders have tilted towards old economy stocks. This move is likely in anticipation of better economy growth across the Canadian economy, notably Western Canada. With growth potentially on the upswing, old economy value stocks are likely to be regain favour with investors who will no longer have to pay premium valuations for growth. A shift towards value investing could put the relative performance of previous high flyers such as U.S. FANG (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google) and Canadian marijuana stocks at risk. Indeed, we have already seen some interesting moves this month with auto stocks soaring as some marijuana stocks stumble.

Updated with Roundhouse Radio interview link at end of article.

Investors appear to be betting that the Trump years will essentially jolt the US economy out of its sub-par growth trend doldrums of the Obama-Bernanke-Yellen years. What remains unresolved is whether or not Trump policies will result in real growth or simply an inflationary mirage. Canadian gold stock insiders are betting on the latter.

Thank you for joining us in a weekly technical look at the mid-cap oriented INK Canadian Insider (CIN) Index.  The Index was heavily oversold at the time of our last update which followed the US election, and we weren't surprised to see it rally last week, gaining 24 points or 2% to close at 1111.60. 

Thank you for joining us in a weekly technical look at the mid-cap oriented INK Canadian Insider (CIN) Index. Last week, the Index pulled back on its throttle and climbed nearly 1% (or 9 points), shattering its previous resistance of 1025-1027.  The Index closed the week at 1033.54, and recorded a new 2016 high.