Federal Reserve

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Monday on INK Ultra Money: The monetary system is broken plus insider selling at the Royal Bank

Here is what's new today on INK Ultra Money.

1. There is always a bigger fish: a repo primer and overview of the premium Jeff Snider interview - Real Vision (free content)

A quick take on repos madness and on Jeff Snider’s premium interview, “The Monetary System is Broken” which is listed below. Looking at the recently roiling repo market, AK asks what it means for the economy at large.

 

Snider: The monetary system was not fixed in 2008

2. What are Royal Bank insiders signalling about its future? - INK Research (subscriber video and free audio)

Thursday on INK Ultra Money: The cannabis 4 horsemen and the technical ingredients for an S&P breakout

Here is what's new today on INK Ultra Money.

1. The Cannabis Four Horsemen  - Real Vision (free content)

Todd Harrison, founding partner and chief investment officer of CB1 Capital Management, walks through how to take advantage of the recent volatility and liquidity concerns in the cannabis space. In this interview with Jake Merl, Harrison reviews his favorite cannabis stocks for sale, highlights the importance of the SAFE Banking Act, and notes how traders should position in the months to come. Filmed on September 24, 2019.

Harrison sees parallels to the dot.com washout

Wednesday on INK Ultra Money: Some value stocks already have recession priced in plus BCE political risk

Here is what's new today on INK Ultra Money.

1. Peak Leverage at Peak Earnings - Real Vision (subscriber content)

Why are bonds and stocks sending conflicting signals at investors? Andrew Lapthorne, global head of quant research at Societe Generale, helps answer this question in his conversation with Roger Hirst. In this conversation, you’ll understand which markets have already priced in recession and why historically defensive assets may not appear as advertised. Lapthorne also dissects the connection between volatility and corporate spreads. Filmed on September 13, 2019 in London.

 

Lapthorne: Buybacks are subsidizing company wages

New Monday on INK Ultra Money: Former Fed insider sees a mini buyers strike

Here is what's new today on INK Ultra Money. INK Research CIA subscribers have full access to all Ultra Money videos including premium content. Non-INK subscribers can sign-up directly on INK Ultra Money or stay tuned for a special offer coming here soon.

1. Former Fed Insiders on Dollar Repo Madness - Real Vision (Subscriber content)

Is this just another mid-cycle adjustment like 1995? Danielle DiMartino Booth, chief strategist at Quill Intelligence, interviews George Goncalves of The Bond Strategist in his first appearance on Real Vision to tackle that question. But, that's just the start. These two former insiders at the Dallas Fed deconstruct the US Dollar liquidity problems and help clarify the major structural issues confronting the repo markets. Filmed on September 18, 2019 in New York.

 

Goncalves: a mini buyers strike is kind of forming

As the central banking hoax is exposed, don't fight the tape

The public should soon catch on to central banking failures suggests Bob Hoye from ChartsandMarkets.com. In another fascinating interview with Jim Goddard, Hoye calls out central bankers for implementing policies based on theories that do not work. In the meantime, stocks look like they are in the early stages of a bear market, but a bounce is due.

Click to listen to Bob Hoye's December 21st broadcast

The Economy, the Stock Market and the Fed

John Hussman on Recent Developments

We always look forward to John Hussman's weekly missive on the markets. Some people say that he is a "permabear", but we don't think that is a fair characterization. He is rightly wary of the stock market's historically extremely high valuation and the loose monetary policy driving the surge in asset prices.

Sound Bites: US insiders flee as Fed officials feud over rates

According to FactSet, for the second quarter the blended earnings decline for the S&P 500 is -3.5% with 91% of the index companies reporting as of August 12th. That marks the first time the index has recorded five consecutive quarters of year-over-year earnings declines since the third quarter of 2009. Nevertheless, as earnings season winds down, investors are pushing broad US benchmarks to new all-time highs. Investors it seems are buying into the narrative that earnings will only get better from here.

Sound bites: Limits to growth

Back in the 1970s, a think tank called the Club of Rome commissioned a publication Limits to Growth which argued the world would soon press up against a wall of finite natural resources. As a consequence, the world needed to prepare for a lower growth environment. Some forty years later the world may have indeed run up against limits to growth, but not due to natural resource depletion. Instead, accumulated global debt may be the culprit.

Weekly Sound Bite: Looking for signs that the global economy may surprise on the upside

For the past year or so we have been getting used to bad news on the world economy with the IMF, OECD, and the Fed taking a downbeat view on world growth, particularly China. However, North American insiders have not been so negative recently.

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