Donald Trump

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Sound bites: Insiders run to resources as geo-tensions rise

On Tuesday, the world will get the first serious insight into the Trump administration's priorities when the president addresses a joint session of congress. We got a hint of what may be in that speech when the New York Times wrote Sunday that the president will be asking for a major jump in defence spending. That news comes on the heels of further reports on the weekend from Reuters that China is investing heavily in naval capabilities to beef up its territorial claims in the South China and East China seas.

Robot Union Demands $2 an Hour

One subject that can always guarantee some angry emails and usually name-calling along lines of "I’m a moron to suggest that technological substitution has to be considered in so many areas from minimum wage, to government subsidies, healthcare reform and transit. It's a good bet these people won't want to consider the impact of technology on the Presidential election, where Donald Trump rode blue-collar job losses to the white house in some key states.

Insiders bracing for slower US growth

Throughout the US election campaign, the prevailing chatter in the Canadian media was along the lines that Donald Trump could not possibly win, but in the unlikely event that he did, disaster would be the assured outcome. In fact, there are pockets of the Canadian economy that could win under a Trump administration, particularly if the GOP maintain control of Congress.

Money Talks: Hillary or Donald? Who cares?

I don't think anyone in the commentariat shows any sign of understanding what is revealed by the two political quotes below. The first quote is my favorite because it sums up my sentiments.

Gary Johnson, the presidential candidate for the Libertarian Party in the US was asked during his appearance on The View whether he would vote Clinton or Trump if someone had a gun to his head. He replied:

"I'd let the gun go off."

Sound Bite: Can the Vancouver Real Estate Gap lead to a Trump-like outcome in BC politics?

With west-side single family home prices soaring over 20% year-over-year, you would have to have your head in the policy sands to not understand that Vancouver real estate prices are on the cusp of a full-blown hyper inflation. Those that are in denial are riding on the assumption that what happens on the Vancouver west side stays on the west side. It does not.

Weekly sound bite: As stocks get more expensive, some could win under a Trump presidency

Insider sentiment is cooling off sharply as the broad US market as tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY*US) has risen about 10% over the past three months. Although the S&P 500 has not made new all-time highs in 2016, it is within striking distance of its all-time high of 2,134.70 set in May last year. While stocks could take-out that high-water mark shortly, insider sentiment is slipping in the three most economy-sensitive sectors: Energy, Basic Materials and Industrials. Therefore, it is not surprising that our overall US Market Indicator is also falling and is now below the 50% mark. At 50%, there are twice as many stocks with key insider sales as buys. With sentiment sliding, we have the US market on watch for a possible downgrade to overvalued based on insider sentiment.

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