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The Canadian insider blog discusses news and insight found among insider and significant shareholder filings in Canada.
 
Ted Dixon is co-founder and CEO of INK Research. He is the creator of the INK Canadian Insider Index, and is the editor of the daily Morning INK and weekly Market INK reports. He is a regular contributor to the Globe and Mail's Globe Investor pages and has also worked as a part-time lecturer in corporate finance at the British Columbia Institute of Technology. Before starting INK, he worked at the Connor, Clark & Lunn Financial Group where his responsibilities included portfolio strategy and product development. He has also been an analyst at the Fraser Institute and a treasury specialist at the TD Bank. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst and member of CFA Vancouver. He holds an MBA in Financial Management from the University of Chicago, and a Bachelor of Commerce from UBC. Listen to his weekly economic commentary on Vancouver's Roundhouse Radio FM 98.3.
 
Victor Wong is a business and client development associate at Canadian Insider and an avid market watcher.
 
Nicholas Winton contributes technical commentaries on the INK Canadian Insider Index. Nicholas also writes the High on the Hog blog.

 

 

INK CIN Index once again at important inflection point

Technical Overview by Nicholas Winton, Hedgehog Trader and @HedgehogTrader on Twitter

Thank you for joining us for our weekly technical look at the mid-cap oriented INK Canadian Insider (CIN) Index.

In our last update, the CIN Index surged to a new multi-week high and looked ready to make a big break out. Instead, the Index reacted as if it had hit a brick wall head-on upon reaching the 1040 resistance level and sank nearly 4% by week's end. As we can see, the red arrows on our chart now indicate 5 or 6 failed attempts to break and hold above 1020/1040 resistance.

Morning INK Report :: CEO buying again at Sabina Gold & Silver

This highlighted stock feature was published before the market open on Oct. 30 for INK Research subscribers.

Today we revisit Sabina Gold & Silver (SBB) which is the top ranked stock in the October edition of our INK Edge Top 40. Gold stocks have made an impressive showing in the list despite strong indications that the Fed wants to raise interest rates in December. Since we last featured it on September 23rd, Sabina Gold & Silver stock is up 58.9%, outperforming the BMO Junior Gold Index ETF (ZJG) and the iShares S&P/TSX Global Gold Index Fund (XGD) which are up 8.2% and 14.1% respectively. As the stock has surged, the CEO has continued to buy.

Ignore unprepared Poloz; flying Financials are a strong bullish signal for the Canadian economy and stocks

As we put together our weekly Monday market comments for INK subscribers, we are focusing on the Financials which have been ripping higher over the past month. The S&P/TSX Financials Index is up 6.5% over the past 30 days. It is often said that a sustainable market rally is not possible without the participation of the Financials, so seeing the group leading the overall market is an encourage sign. The positive price action is supported by our INK Financials Indicator which is signalling that the stocks in the sector put in a significant low in August.

Globe and Mail Number Cruncher: Taking stock of Liberal commitments

What are we looking for?

The Trudeau government was elected on a platform that included more infrastructure investment, tax benefits for middle- and lower-income Canadians as well as improved employment insurance benefits. We are looking for stocks that might benefit from these commitments, notably construction, engineering and retail-oriented names. Rankings are determined by the INK Edge V.I.P. criteria (valuations, insider commitment and price momentum). This is the same approach we apply across the broad market to determine membership for the INK Canadian insider index, which is used by the Horizons Canadian Insider Index ETF (HII).

Will a Trudeau-led Canada lead the global reflation trade?

For years the Bank for International Settlements has essentially been pleading with developed countries to stop relying on monetary policy to juice their economies. The implied message was clear: if countries want to stimulate their economies, do it with fiscal policy. So far, the BIS pleas have fallen on deaf ears. On Monday, Canada may well send the Swiss-based BIS an encouraging reply. If the polls are right, Justin Trudeau's Liberals will win a mandate which includes going into a modest deficit to build infrastructure and housing.

Loonie likely to fly higher with a Trudeau government, domestically-focused stocks may also get a boost

The loonie is likely to regain its strength under a Trudeau government, although timing will depend on whether or not there is a majority government. A majority Liberal government should set the flight path higher soon after election night, while a minority could keep the currency in a holding pattern for a few weeks or months.

Integra Gold takes a page from the McEwen Goldcorp playbook

This Morning INK report was orignally published for INK Research subscribers on Oct. 6. The stock has subsequently rallied about 10%. The INK Edge outlooks for Integra Gold and Eldorado Gold have been updated as of Oct 13.

October 6, 2015 - Today we visit Integra Gold (ICG) which is striving to advance its Lamaque project in the Quebec Val d'Or gold district. Within Lamaque South, the most recent resource estimate reports 811,010 ounces at a 9.5 g/t grade in the indicated category and 276,030 ounces inferred at a 10.9 g/t grade. An update is expected by year end. Within North Project (Sigma-Lamaque), the company's latest available resource estimate has 586,000 ounces in the indicated category, and 1,853,000 ounces inferred at 1 g/t cut-off.

EDITORIAL: This election Trudeau is the best choice for Canadian prosperity

Age has never stopped me from trying something new. I quit my relatively secure job with one of Canada's largest pension fund managers in my 40s to start up INK Research, an internet based independent research firm. The odds were against my business partner and me, but we did it. After more than 10 years of ups and downs associated with that decision, I am still not afraid to do something new when a business case is strong. Next Monday, I will be doing just that. For the first time in my life I will be voting for the Liberal Party of Canada.

Insiders buying at ARC Resources

This Morning INK report was orignally published for INK Research subscribers on Oct. 2. The stock has subsequently rallied 24%. Highlights of the report were also published in the Globe and Mail Saturday

October 2, 2015 - Today we look at ARC Resources (ARX) whose stock closed at $17.56 on October 1st. It is down 10.8% over the last month, underperforming the S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index (down 9.0%). Nevertheless, it has grabbed our attention because in that same time period, insiders, including the CFO, have spent a total of $564,004 acquiring shares in the public market and have not reported any selling.

Unveiling the truth behind the Harper surplus: recession and risk

Some commentators have argued Ottawa's reported return to surplus is good news. I respectfully disagree. It is not. The Harper conservatives' road to surplus has been shifty, pushing us into recession along the way and leaving taxpayers vulnerable to rising interest rates. Meanwhile, as Ottawa banks on housing to boost the economy, the long-term ability of our economy to compete and create viable jobs becomes less certain.

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