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The Canadian insider blog discusses news and insight found among insider and significant shareholder filings in Canada.
 
Ted Dixon is co-founder and CEO of INK Research. He is the creator of the INK Canadian Insider Index, and is the editor of the daily Morning INK and weekly Market INK reports. He is a regular contributor to the Globe and Mail's Globe Investor pages and has also worked as a part-time lecturer in corporate finance at the British Columbia Institute of Technology. Before starting INK, he worked at the Connor, Clark & Lunn Financial Group where his responsibilities included portfolio strategy and product development. He has also been an analyst at the Fraser Institute and a treasury specialist at the TD Bank. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst and member of CFA Vancouver. He holds an MBA in Financial Management from the University of Chicago, and a Bachelor of Commerce from UBC. Listen to his weekly economic commentary on Vancouver's Roundhouse Radio FM 98.3.
 
Victor Wong is a business and client development associate at Canadian Insider and an avid market watcher.
 
Nicholas Winton contributes technical commentaries on the INK Canadian Insider Index. Nicholas also writes the High on the Hog blog.

 

 

Canadian prosperity on the line as Poloz plays with housing fire

In our most recent market update to clients and my regular interview with Kirk Lapointe on Monday, I explained that the Bank of Canada needs to start talking about normalizing interest rates, because the economy is now growing and the rationale for having ultra low rates is evaporating. Indeed, we saw insiders anticipate the recovery in Western Canada during last fall's rebalancing of the INK Canadian Insider Index when the index make-up tilted towards Energy and Canadian retail names.

Sound bites: Three missiles too far?

While investors are once again fixating on the upcoming March 15th Fed meeting, they should also be paying attention to a high level meeting likely taking place in Tokyo on the same day. Next Wednesday, US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson is expected to start his northern Asian tour in Japan. Following his stop in Japan, over the following days he is expected to head to South Korea and China, in that order. A key topic will be North Korea which fired at least four missiles towards Japan earlier this week.

Sound bites: Insiders run to resources as geo-tensions rise

On Tuesday, the world will get the first serious insight into the Trump administration's priorities when the president addresses a joint session of congress. We got a hint of what may be in that speech when the New York Times wrote Sunday that the president will be asking for a major jump in defence spending. That news comes on the heels of further reports on the weekend from Reuters that China is investing heavily in naval capabilities to beef up its territorial claims in the South China and East China seas.

BNN Notes: Key Market Trends & The Insiders

Before appearing on BNN's Business Day AM with Amber Kanwar and Jon Erlichman today, we wrote up a note for the show covering some key trends in the market and how insiders are positioning themselves. The background note was fairly extensive and we couldn't possibly cover it all in 7 minutes on television. But, I thought it would be worth sending the material to our readers because it covers a lot of ground, focusing on both institutional and speculative situations in the market.

The replay of the interview is now on the BNN website. If you missed the interview, you can watch it here: http://www.bnn.ca/video/insider-trading-trends-in-canadian-heavyweights~...

INK Canadian Insider Index: set to 'wow' from a bullish double bottom?

Thank you for joining us in a weekly technical look at the mid-cap oriented INK Canadian Insider (CIN) Index. Early last week, the Index continued to trade in a tight range and then on Wednesday dipped to 1180 or 8 points short of its 50-day moving average (1172) before closing strongly near the day's highs. By doing so, the Index is carving out a double bottom pattern and so far this has been confirmed, for the Index went on to gap up and rise 13 points or over 1% over the last 2 days to close at 1200.27 for 7 point gain on the week. The Index's latest chart action is starting to look very promising indeed.

INK Canadian Insider Index sees new high at 1213.42 before closing at 1198.20

Thank you for joining us in a weekly technical look at the mid-cap oriented INK Canadian Insider (CIN) Index. The Index made a new high above 1200 (1213.42 on an intraday basis) before turning back down. The Index closed up 10 points on the week, finishing a hair under 1200 at 1198.20.

Is Yellen trying to show Trump who's boss?

In our December Gold Top 20 we said that the real yields were likely to be a key driver for the gold price for the foreseeable future. While we saw some signs that real 5-year yields had peaked and were heading back towards zero, they have rallied back with a vengeance following the hawkish posture of the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. On balance, Fed officials now see three rate hikes in 2017.

Sound bites: As the old economy rallies, high flying pot & FANG stocks at risk

In my latest Talk Digital Network interview with Jim Goddard, I highlight how Canadian insiders have tilted towards old economy stocks. This move is likely in anticipation of better economy growth across the Canadian economy, notably Western Canada. With growth potentially on the upswing, old economy value stocks are likely to be regain favour with investors who will no longer have to pay premium valuations for growth. A shift towards value investing could put the relative performance of previous high flyers such as U.S. FANG (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google) and Canadian marijuana stocks at risk. Indeed, we have already seen some interesting moves this month with auto stocks soaring as some marijuana stocks stumble.

Insiders see risk of Trump inflationary illusion

Updated with Roundhouse Radio interview link at end of article.

Investors appear to be betting that the Trump years will essentially jolt the US economy out of its sub-par growth trend doldrums of the Obama-Bernanke-Yellen years. What remains unresolved is whether or not Trump policies will result in real growth or simply an inflationary mirage. Canadian gold stock insiders are betting on the latter.

Sound bites: Dippers Become Swingers

In my latest interview with Jim Goddard at Howestreet.com, I explain the key investing theme in our latest US Market INK report: the sea change facing investors after the election of Donald Trump. 

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