INK Ultra Money: Central banks on the path to domination

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Today on INK Ultra Money, we are treated to Hugh Hendry's colourful interview with Richard Werner who wrote Princes of the Yen which takes a critical look at the behavior of the Bank of Japan and other central banks. However, Werner provides a prescription for improving the role of central banks, and without giving away the punchline it does not involve aggressive interest rate policy. Reading between the lines, Hendry and Werner also point to a weak spot for Canada (think reliance on housing asset inflation). Werner also makes a bold prediction that the influence and roll of central banks is going to keep getting bigger. Central bank backed digital currencies could even help pave their road to dominance.

Speaking of getting things right, we continue to ask will it be a G or D economy in the years head? It is a critical question for the asset allocation decision as inflation-sensitive stocks should do well under a G scenario while bonds and bond proxies such as software stocks could outperform in a D-economy world. In our latest free Insights newsletter, we report that insiders are signalling that the odds of a G-economy appear to be picking up. With that in mind, today INK Research looks at a stock that could enjoy a G-economy world.

Finally, Real Vison also broke an important COVID-19 development out of South Korea in its daily briefing yesterday which demonstrates that trickiness of dealing the virus.

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1. More Power to The Princess - Real Vision (premium)

The word “unprecedented” has been used frequently crisis to describe the ongoing pandemic, but Professor Frank Snowden, professor of history of medicine at Yale University and author of Epidemics and Society: Professor Richard Werner joins Hugh Hendry, founder and former CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, for a deep-dive into the world of central banking. They explore the process of credit creation and examine the fundamental role it plays in inflating asset bubbles, the popping of which can wreck whole economies but can be very good for central bankers. They analyze the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) remarkable record of credit expansion, including its use of lending quotas, through the lens of Werner’s renowned book, “Princes of the Yen,” which was a number one bestseller in Japan. They also look at the ongoing efforts of the Fed and the European Central Bank (ECB) to provide liquidity during this unprecedented global crisis at all costs, particularly debt monetization and quantitative easing (a term Werner himself coined), which Werner suggests could lead to a widespread bank nationalization – or a “Sovietization” of the banking sector, as he says. Werner argues that the ECB is undemocratic and that it bears a closer similarity to the Reichsbank (1876 – 1945) than it does to the Bundesbank (1957-present). Hendry and Werner conclude their lengthy discussion by looking forward: they scrutinize the current and future monarchs of the global monetary order, who are no longer princes but who may be on their way to becoming kings. Hugh Hendry can be found on Twitter at @hendry_hugh and on Instagram at hughhendryofficial. Filmed on May 15, 2020.

 

Will the Fed end up being America's bank?

 

2. Insiders wired for a G-economy - INK Research (premium)

INK Research ends the week by looking at a stock that would likely benefit from a return of inflation. The last 5 years have not been kind to the share price. However, insiders are betting on a sea change ahead. Watch>>

3. Real Vision Daily Briefing - May 21 (free)

Nick Correa has breaking analysis on the latest COVID-19 developments in South Korea where discrimination against the LGTBQ community is making the latest outbreak hard to contain. Watch>>

 

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